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Senator Lindsey Graham told Trey Gowdy and his Fox News audience:

Most Republicans, including me, believe when it comes to Trump, there is no law. It's all about getting him.
. . .
If there's a prosecution of Donald Trump for mishandling classified information, after the Clinton debacle, which you presided over and did a helluva good job, there'll be riots in the streets.
. . .
If they try to prosecute President Trump for mishandling classified information after Hillary Clinton set up a server in her basement, there literally will be riots in the street. I worry about our country.
— Video posted on Truth Social by Donald Trump

Defenders of Trump don't defend Trump's conduct; they don't examine it; they only mention it as a pivot to voicing their resentments and grievances. It's all whataboutism, distortions, fraudulent analogies, and ginned up outrage, which 'justifies' whatever stance they happen to be taking at the time. The subtext of Graham's message is: when it comes to Trump, there is no law.

Was Graham simply making a prediction? Of course not. He is sending a crisp, clear signal. This bluster is a brush back pitch, a warning: if you hold Trump accountable, there will be violence in the streets.

The senator's concern ("I worry about our country") isn't directed at the lawless Trump supporters he expects to take to the streets. He makes no plea, even halfhearted, against violence, which must be expected because of the laundry list he conjures up of past transgressions by law enforcement agencies and social media companies. The violence will come, he promises, as he pushes back against the prospect of the holding the ex-president accountable.

If they didn't lock Hillary Clinton up, or go after Hunter Biden, then they'd better not prosecute Donald Trump. This tortured equivalence generates Graham's demand: whatever Trump has done, don't touch him. Or else.

Graham is giving ammunition to the rioters he assures us will turn out. He is offering them cover to employ violence. He is deliberately stoking their rage, to prompt them to rally 'round his forecast of what's to come if Trump is indicted.

That time when Graham opposed riots in the streets

Recall the most significant riot of the Trump presidency, the one orchestrated by Trump, the one that sought to overturn the 2020 election, the one that prompted Graham to repudiate Trump on the floor of the Senate:

(Graham's remarks begin 3 minutes and 10 seconds into the video report from Fox News Channel.)

Trump and I, we've had a helluva journey. I hate it to end this way. Oh, my god, I hate it...
All I can say is, 'Count me out. Enough is enough.' I've tried to be helpful...
When it's over, it is over. It is over!

Of course it wasn't over. In no time the senior senator from South Carolina, the perennial sidekick who craves relevance, was back lapping up attention from the man who leads the Republican Party. Graham has put the rioting of January 6 out of mind. He has changed his tune about holding Trump accountable. Now he is invoking riots in the streets to ward off an indictment of the former guy.

Democrats faced a backlash Wednesday — including from within their own ranks — after inserting themselves into a GOP primary in western Michigan, helping a far-right candidate who has embraced false claims about the 2020 election to topple a Republican who had voted to impeach Donald Trump.
Democrats this year have tried to interfere in multiple GOP primaries, using ads that appear to be attacks on more extreme candidates as a way to subtly promote those contenders. The idea is to line up opponents who the Democrats believe to be more easily beatable in the general election.
But Tuesday’s vote was the first in which the closeness of the outcome — Trump-endorsed challenger John Gibbs won with 52 percent of the vote, according to unofficial returns — suggested that the Democrats’ meddling may have tipped the results. – "Democrats face blowback after boosting far-right Michigan candidate," Washington Post, August 3, 2022

Democrats oppose the big lie and regard Trump as unfit to serve, yet earlier this month the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee boosted John Gibbs, the wacky election denier, to harm Congressman Peter Meijer (one of only ten House Republicans who cast a vote for impeachment) in his bid for reelection.

A number of critics (cited in the Washington Post article quoted above) have condemned this decision. The move was “cynical and dangerous” according to election savant Richard Hasen, who said, “We know that the Trumpian wing of the Republican Party is doing a lot to undermine people’s confidence in the fairness and integrity of elections. The idea that Democrats would be willing to gamble on electing more of these people because they think they’ll be easier to beat in the general election really is playing with fire.” Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson and Members of Congress Mark Pocan and Dean Phillips – Democrats all – offered equally pointed criticism. The DCCC strategy was denounced as “a dangerous game,” “a very risky proposition,” and a disgusting boost of “the far-right opponent of one of the most honorable Republicans in Congress.” 

Politico found additional Democratic members of Congress who offered scathing assessments of the DCCC approach, and none who voiced approval. In this post I will make an affirmative case for the DCCC decision.

Let's take a closer look.

Michigan's 3rd Congressional District

On May 18, 2019, Justin Amash became the first House Republican to call for Donald Trump’s impeachment (the first impeachment). On July 3, 2019, Peter Meijer announced that he would oppose the congressman in the August 2020 Republican primary for Michigan’s 3rd Congressional District:

In an interview with MLive, Meijer said his approach as a congressman would differ from Amash in that he would work with President Donald Trump to “make sure that we advance policies and an agenda that is in the best interest of West Michigan.”

Meijer, though this was his first bid for public office, insisted that he could be effective:

He pointed, for instance, to Trump, and said that, “Our president has demonstrated that to be a change agent, sometimes it helps to come from outside the system.”

On July 4, 2019, Amash announced that he was leaving the Republican Party. Subsequently, he decided not to seek reelection.

Meijer went on to win the Republican nomination and, in a close race against Democrat Hillary Scholten, the general election in 2020. Two days after the January 6 insurrection, he called on the Republican Party “to own up for the lies and deceptions we’ve been telling our supporters” about election fraud. Later that month, he was one of ten House Republicans who voted to impeach Donald Trump (the second impeachment).

His opponent in the Republican primary earlier this month was the aforementioned conspiracy theorist, John Gibbs. When a radio host (who claimed Sandy Hook was a hoax and Parkland survivors were "crisis actors") tweeted that Hillary Clinton’s campaign messenger had participated in satanic rituals, Gibbs retweeted it, adding, “True, true, true.” Truth be told, Gibbs is hardly out of step with many Republican candidates across the country and a number in Congress.

On August 2, Republican voters rejected Meijer and gave Gibbs, whom the former president had endorsed, the nomination. Hillary Scholten, who narrowly lost in 2020, won the Democratic nomination setting up the scenario that the DCCC sought, a November face off with Scholten vs. Gibbs.

Democracy threatened as the DCCC plays the odds

This is a perilous time for American democracy. In the past half dozen years, this peril has often been described as ‘a five alarm fire.’ So Professor Hasen’s metaphor, that the Democrats are playing with fire, fits. Further, since electoral outcomes can never be predicted with certainty (just ask Eric Cantor, Joe Crowley, or Kansas legislators), in a sense the DCCC has placed a gamble on the November contest in Michigan.

But, based on all we know, this sure looks like a safe bet. It would be counterproductive, in seeking to preserve the House majority, not to take it. The prospects of a Democratic loss appear more slender with Gibbs, a newbie candidate who occupies the far right fringe, than with Meijer, a sitting first-term congressman who belatedly recognized the threat Trump poses, on the November ballot. Though Democrats could lose, that’s not likely.

Besides, what if Gibbs wins? There’s one more crackpot in Kevin McCarthy’s conference and that’s hardly a big deal. It’s easy enough to imagine scenarios where the presence of Meijer (rather than Gibbs) might make a difference. But those improbable scenarios are hardly near the top of any list of reasonable political concerns, such as retaining the House majority (or losing it narrowly). The DCCC has made a reasonable gamble in this instance.

The GOP became an anti-democratic movement decades ago

The road to the MAGA Republican Party didn’t begin with the infamous 2015 escalator ride. The dangerous transformation began much earlier. Newt Gingrich deserves special recognition. “During his two decades in Congress, he pioneered a style of partisan combat—replete with name-calling, conspiracy theories, and strategic obstructionism—that poisoned America’s political culture and plunged Washington into permanent dysfunction.” Moreover, Gingrich oversaw “the dismantling of the traditional legislating process based on the committees,” while he "slashed several thousand staff positions from the congressional committees and abolished the Office of Technology Assessment and the Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental Relations—agencies of Congress that brought scientific expertise to various issues and studied the impact of federal policies on state and local governments.”*

While the upheaval in the party during the Gingrich era can hardly be overstated, the dystopian changes have continued apace, with more milestones just since the mid-1990s than you can count (including an increasingly hostile House GOP caucus in the image of Gingrich, the rise of Fox News Channel and an alternative media universe, a series of anti-democratic rulings from the Supreme Court, Mitch McConnell's leadership in imposing gridlock in the Senate, and aggressive voter suppression laws across the country).

Donald Trump’s rise was not a one-off. Nor was he something new under the sun. The GOP was becoming increasingly anti-democratic before Trump's arrival and takeover. As noted in my previous post, Thomas Mann and Norman Ornstein observed in 2012:

The GOP has become an insurgent outlier in American politics. It is ideologically extreme; scornful of compromise; unmoved by conventional understanding of facts, evidence and science; and dismissive of the legitimacy of its political opposition.

By the time that was written, the trajectory of the GOP had become clear (though commentators and journalists mostly refused to recognize it at the time, just as most Republicans still do to this day). This devastating indictment of the Republican party sketches a virtual roadmap for a party transforming itself into an autocratic cult with a prodigious liar, contemptuous of the rule of law, at its head.

Rejecting both insurrection and democratic governance

And yet (as noted in my last post) Liz Cheney and other prominent Republicans who have at long last broken with Trump – by rejecting the big lie and the insurrection – do not accept the Mann/Ornstein indictment. They embrace the status quo ante just before the big lie and January 6 rioting. In doing so, they continue to enable an anti-democratic GOP.

This group of latecomers opposing Trump undeniably includes Peter Meijer, who wrote on the eve of his 2022 primary election: “Watching this unraveling inside my party has been utterly bewildering. The only thing that has been more nauseating has been the capacity of my Democratic colleagues to sell out any pretense of principle for political expediency — at once decrying the downfall of democracy while rationalizing the use of their hard-raised dollars to prop up the supposed object of their fears.”

Congressman Meijer is bewildered by a party, his own, comprised of a multitude of leaders and tens of millions of followers who embrace the big lie and defend (or whitewash) the January 6 attack on the Capitol. But it is Democrats who make him nauseous – stemming from a decision made by Congressman Sean Patrick Maloney and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee – which many Democrats in and out of Congress oppose. (These critics are wrong, in my view, but the point is: Meijer's partisanship blinds him to what's been going on for a long while, what has become deeply embedded in his own party. This is why his anger is directed chiefly at Democrats.)

Peter Meijer is onboard with the decades-long anti-democratic project of the Republican Party that came before January 6. He saw an opportunity after Justin Amash had declared his support for impeachment (the first). He was raring to go to Washington to work with Trump. He looked at the president as a role model "from outside the system." That's a record that evidences a shallow commitment to democratic institutions.

Is Meijer better than an election denier (who will likely lose to a Democrat)? Well, yeah. But that's not good enough to spare him from a pragmatic campaign strategy to defeat House Republicans.

Defending American democracy

The surest way to change the Republican Party, to limit the damage it is doing our to democracy, is to defeat Republican candidates at the polls. That includes Republicans who embrace the party's pre-January 6 anti-democratic agenda. Rejecting the big lie and the insurrection shouldn't get you a free pass from Democrats.

But Democrats meddled in a Republican primary

Many Congressional Democrats are aghast at interference (or meddling) in Republican primaries. Is renouncing 'meddling' actually a matter of principle in political campaigning? Pause to consider an unexceptional, run of the mill televised political commercial: sound, images, and words designed to provoke or persuade. I understand a principled objection to content that is (for instance) inflammatory, libelous, or untruthful. I fail to see a compelling principle opposing a no-meddling policy.

Would the DCCC's running negative ads elicit such strong opposition from Democrats in Congress? Why object to meddling in this race? I believe it's because many Democrats have been gobsmacked by their GOP colleagues' embrace of the big lie. It is refreshing news, a reassuring affirmation regarding the integrity of a handful of their Republican counterparts, to see them renounce election deniers and insurrectionists. In an era when Republicans are "unmoved by conventional understanding of facts, evidence and science," Democrats wish to throw out the welcome mat for the few who are bucking their party. Meijer stood up and told the truth (as Liz Cheney has done).

That's an understandable reaction. But shortsighted. Step back and consider the bigger picture: the only reason the meddling strategy worked (to eliminate Meijer) in Michigan's 3rd CD (or anywhere else) is because of the refusal of Republican leaders to denounce the lies and violence that have infused their party. They have either lied outright or refused to level with their voters (who have learned to cast ballots for extremists). These Republican leaders have done so because they seek a political advantage. They are willingly – in their pursuit of political power – doing damage to our democratic institutions.

'Meddling' wouldn't work if Kevin McCarthy, Mitch McConnell, and other Republican leaders forthrightly denounced the big lie and the January 6 rioting and remained steadfast in the denunciation. But they won't. McConnell has made a judgment (replete with wishful thinking) that he'll gain more in the short-term by keeping quiet, than by speaking out (though he's lost this bet before). McCarthy has decided to go all-in with the big lie. The two men have this in common: their desire for political power trumps their commitment to democratic institutions.

In both cases, they need to be taught a lesson. The lesson is this: Democrats are going to punish Republicans in November for countenancing the big lie. To forgo meddling, Democrats would be doing McCarthy, McConnell, Trump, and so many other election deniers a huge favor.

The failure to meddle, insofar as it diminishes the prospects of a Democratic victory in 2022, would be a mistake of sentimentality. The best way to deter the Republican Party from its anti-democratic agenda, or (if that's not possible) to prevent it from implementing its agenda, is to defeat it at the polls. Fair and square.

That’s the strategy that Congressman Maloney and the DCCC have adopted. In my view, in this election year, it maximizes the prospects of success for the only party committed to defending our democratic institutions.+

*Note: Bonus quote on Gingrich from Nicole Hemmer (discussing her new book on American conservatism with Politico):

Newt Gingrich … really believed that Republicans needed a rhetorical style that made it clear that Republicans were the good guys and Democrats were the bad guys. And it’s not just “good” versus “bad.” It is “moral” versus “degenerate.” Gingrich would pick the worst possible words — “treason,” “degeneracy” — to attach to Democrats, and he felt like that was important.

+Note: Bonus headline: "Once unthinkable, Democrats now see narrow path to keeping the House."

Representative Liz Cheney makes her final pitch to Wyoming voters.

America cannot remain free if we abandon the truth. The lie that the 2020 presidential election was stolen is insidious.
It preys on those who love their country. It is a door Donald Trump opened to manipulate Americans to abandon their principles, to sacrifice their freedom, the justify violence, to ignore the rulings of our courts and the rule of law.
This is Donald Trump's legacy, but it cannot be the future of our nation.
. . .

Give Liz Cheney credit. She has become a champion of American democracy.

I think she was slow to recognize the threat that Trump posed to our democratic institutions. I think she failed to recognize the errant, dysfunctional direction of the Republican Party -- long before Trump. (Such is the power of partisanship in a polarized electorate.)

In 2012, Thomas Mann and Norm Ornstein observed, "The GOP has become an insurgent outlier in American politics. It is ideologically extreme; scornful of compromise; unmoved by conventional understanding of facts, evidence and science; and dismissive of the legitimacy of its political opposition."

Donald Trump didn't open the door to an off the rails, anti-democratic GOP. Newt Gingrich made great strides across that threshold more than a decade ago. (Cheney's father, who launched a war through deceit and slander of folks who opposed it also crossed that threshold.) Many others, over many years, were forerunners of Trump. And by 2022 we have witnessed a stampede of Republicans (in Congress, in statehouses, on Fox News, and among grassroots activists and primary voters) to embrace their leader and his lies, while rejecting democratic institutions. From the veneration of Viktor Orbán at CPAC (and on FNC) to the open hostility toward democratic principles in the Arizona GOP, many Republicans are no longer on board with "the experiment entrusted to the hands of the American people” (in the words of George Washington).

Give Liz Cheney credit. Unlike her Republican peers in the House, she has finally seen enough to draw a line (and the courage of her convictions not to backtrack). She has chosen to embrace truth and principle, not lies and ambition. (Few others, certainly not the minority leader, have made that choice.)

Although I disagree with the congresswoman, vehemently, on nearly every political issue separating the two political parties, we are in agreement regarding the anti-democratic turn the Republican Party has taken. that it is a lie that the 2020 election was “rigged and stolen,” that embracing that lie is inconsistent with the rule of law under the Constitution, and that our democracy requires the peaceful transfer of power and the rejection of violence.*

Wyoming voters, overwhelmingly Republican, will likely turn her out today as punishment for her commitment to truth, to the rule of law, to free and fair elections, and to the peaceful transition of power. Their fealty is to Trump, not to American democracy.

Such is the power of partisanship in a polarized electorate.

Small-d democrats, with Cheney, must hope that this cannot be the future of our nation -- and be committed to a protracted struggle to preserve democracy.

*Note: After brief reflection, I believe that Liz Cheney and I have differences “regarding the anti-democratic turn the Republican Party has taken.” I have no reason to believe that she accepts the Mann/Ornstein conclusion or the indictment of Newt Gingrich (and other Republican partisans) for demonizing political opponents, poisoning public discourse, stifling the give and take of politics, and rendering government unresponsive – all of which, I contend, have damaged our democratic institutions. Cheney does not agree with me regarding the transformation of the GOP over the past two decades. She stands apart from most of her party, however, because she has found a bridge too far with Trump’s big lie and his efforts to overturn the election. On that we agree.

One of many news accounts related to the search warrant executed at Mar-a-Lago yesterday carries the headline, "Top Republicans echo Trump's evidence-free claims to discredit FBI search." Evidence-free. Along with diversion, distraction, distortion, and outright lies, evidence-free has become a way of life for Republican leaders, Fox News personalities, and other defenders of the head of the Grand Old Party -- though there is often no defense at all. It is rare, in fact, to address the specifics, or reference them, regarding any alleged wrongdoing by the man.

House Republican Marjorie Taylor Greene tweets: "Defund the FBI!"

Senator Marco Rubio, a reliable weather vane of party opinion, ties the search to the Democrats' success in undoing a decade of Republican-driven defunding of the IRS: "After todays raid on Mar A Lago what do you think the left plans to use those 87,000 new IRS agents for?"

While a savvy, aggressive Governor Ron DeSantis, whom I'd judge is as likely to get the Republican 2024 presidential nomination as Trump, delivers a roundhouse: "The raid of MAL is another escalation in the weaponization of federal agencies against the Regime’s political opponents, while people like Hunter Biden get treated with kid gloves. Now the Regime is getting another 87k IRS agents to wield against its adversaries? Banana Republic."

South Carolina's Lindsay Graham (momentarily, as is his wont) strikes a more thoughtful pose: "Time will tell regarding this most recent investigation.  However, launching such an investigation of a former President this close to an election is beyond problematic." But, c'mon, it's risible that weeks before Labor Day heading toward an off-year election is too close for an investigation of a guy who's not on the ballot.

The fainthearted Speaker-in-Waiting, Kevin Benghazi-Benghazi-Benghazi McCarthy, signals his support with a boastful promise to employ the power of his office for harassment of the DOJ:

I've seen enough.
The Department of Justice has reached an intolerable state of weaponized politicization.
When Republicans take back the House, we will conduct immediate oversight of this department, follow the facts, and leave no stone unturned.
Attorney General Garland, preserve your documents and clear your calendar.

Donald Trump famously ripped memos to shreds and even tossed them in the toilet, while his staff sent burn bags to the Pentagon for incineration; for many fateful hours on January 6, record-keeping in the White House stopped; the leadership Trump put into place at the Secret Service and the Department of Homeland Security destroyed records that federal law required be preserved; and then Trump absconded with national security papers when he departed the White House. It's rich for McCarthy to end his missive with "preserve your documents."

Donald Trump's birther lie, magnified by Fox News, launched his political career. He told over 30,000 lies over four years. His first campaign trumpeted "Lock her up!" (because she failed to follow established protocols regarding sensitive documents) throughout fall 2016. He cozied up to Putin and other dictators, extorted the leader of Ukraine, undermined NATO and our democratic allies, and on and on for four years.

The Republican Party stuck with him come what may. Through the Mueller investigation, two impeachments, the January 6 riot, and most frightening of all, a concerted campaign -- which continues to this day -- to discredit the 2020 presidential election.

"I could stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue and shoot somebody, and I wouldn't lose any voters, OK?"

He added, "It's, like, incredible." It was. And is.

The party that formerly espoused Character counts, that emphasized national security, law and order, and fidelity to the Constitution -- that party has rallied around Donald Trump.

Evidence-free posturing permits the evasion of accountability. The FBI presented a search warrant at Mar-a-Lago. That warrant specifies the factual basis to justify the search. Donald Trump, his attorneys and closest advisors know what's in that warrant.

Has any Republican in power thought to ask what's in the warrant? Has Trump deigned to mention any specific from that warrant?

No, it's all blather, bluster, whataboutism, misdirection, lies, and ginned up outrage. Evidence-free.

Arizona Speaker of the House Rusty Bowers stood up to threats and intimidation from fellow Republicans and refused to take steps to overturn the 2020 presidential election, which had resulted in a resounding defeat for Donald Trump. In a previous post, I commended the speaker, who testified truthfully before the January 6 Committee about these illegal efforts, for his religious faith, principled convictions, and strength of character. But I wrestled with what to make of Bowers' pledge to vote again for Trump if he appeared on the 2024 ballot.

Apparently Bowers has also wrestled with that dilemma. He said, in an interview with Jonathan Karl, "I'll never vote for him" again. When Karl asked him how he explained the hold Trump has on the Republican Party, nationally and in Arizona, Bowers replied:

They rule by thuggery and intimidation. So, you know, they found a niche, they found a way, and it’s fear. And people can use fear – demagogues like to use fear as a weapon. And they weaponize everything. And we all know it.
But it’s sad. That’s not leadership to me – to use thuggery.

Once again, this time without perplexity, I will tip my hat to a man of principle.

In a speech last week, Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, who has successfully stifled democratic institutions in Hungary and advanced an authoritarian regime, declared on behalf of Hungary and Europe, “we do not want to become peoples of mixed-race.” He added a comment (interpreted as a joke referencing Nazi gas chambers) about an EU proposal to ration gas: “the past shows us German know-how on that.”

His remarks were met with disapproval across Europe and elsewhere. Among his critics was a longtime Orbán advisor who explained her resignation by observing that the speech was “a pure Nazi text worthy of Goebbels.”* In contrast, prominent American conservatives, many of whom have come to look at Orbán as a role model (chief among them Tucker Carlson), were unruffled by the evident racism.

Orbán will deliver a keynote speech at CPAC this week. When asked about his remarks, conference organizer Matt Schlapp shrugged them off:

“Let’s listen to the man speak,” Schlapp said in an interview at the America First Policy Institute summit in Washington following Orban’s speech, according to Bloomberg. “We’ll see what he says. And if people have a disagreement with something he says, they should raise it.”

It was not that long ago that the Republican Party would have distanced itself from such a figure. As recently as 2019, national Republicans repudiated Iowa Congressman Steve King, refused to fund his campaign, and stripped him of his committee assignments in Congress. That would never happen now, a mere three years later.

Today, Republicans – led by the man who rose to political prominence with birtherism, who in campaigns and in the White House demonized Mexicans and Muslims (among others unwelcome in the MAGA GOP), and who continues to undermine democratic institutions by promoting the big lie – have welcomed white supremacists into their coalition.

In Pennsylvania, a major swing state with a closely divided electorate, the Republican Party’s gubernatorial candidate Doug Mastriano has defended his financial ties to a website founded by Andrew Torba, who exults in his anti-Semitism.

"We're not bending the knee to the 2% anymore," Torba said, a reference to the general estimate of the Jewish population in the United States. "We're not taking it anymore, bud. We are taking back our culture. We're taking back our country. We're taking back our government. So, deal with it."
Asked Thursday about the criticism over his relationship with Mastriano, Torba told CNN, "I only speak to Christian news outlets. Repent and call on the name of Jesus Christ."

Marjorie Taylor Green, who is hawking Proud Christian Nationalist t-shirts on her campaign website, said last week on conservative Next News Network:

I think Republicans really need to recognize the people they represent. Okay, the voters. Not the lobbyist donors, not the corporate PACS, not those people. That’s not who the Republican Party should represent.
We need to be the party of nationalism. And I’m a Christian and I say it proudly: We should be Christian nationalists.

While Donald Trump's life and character bear no resemblance to Christianity as portrayed in the Gospels, and prejudice against Jews is hardly as prominent as his contempt for other minorities, he embraces white evangelical Christian support and, more significantly, he caters to the haters among his supporters. And while not all Republicans harbor hostility toward religious minorities, dark skinned immigrants, or other groups that Donald Trump has reveled in disparaging, we have reason for concern at the unmistakable direction the Republican Party has taken.

From dog-whistle to bullhorn

In the decades as the Solid South shifted from Democrats to Republicans and eventually came to represent the ideological center of the Republican Party, dog-whistle politics (often audible to political observers who cared to notice) have become part and parcel of the Republican playbook. However, the party’s messaging conformed to constraints of civility, principle, and what was viable politically. As the balance of what’s viable politically has shifted, the party has let hate rise in its ranks without much protest and, mostly, with silence.

Ronald Reagan made a commitment to states’ rights in a speech near Philadelphia, Mississippi near the beginning of his 1980 campaign for president. Jesse Helms’ 1990 ‘Hands’ TV ad criticized his black opponent for favoring Ted Kennedy’s racial quota law. Pete Wilson’s ‘They keep coming’ ad, in support of Proposition 187, boosted his 1994 reelection campaign.

Did these appeals seek to draw in voters who harbored racial prejudice? Whether or not this was true in any specific cases, plausible deniability was always available in response to criticism. The party could always look to principles not grounded in fear or hatred of any racial or ethnic groups to defend public utterances, campaign ads, and public policy initiatives.

Even Donald Trump’s Muslim ban could be defended (albeit unconvincingly) as essential to national security, while ‘family values’ could be invoked (without mention of Christianity, gay communities, or abortion) as a traditional staple of Americana.

But with Trump’s ascension to leadership of the Republican Party, overt appeals to prejudice and hate of the other (including a broad swath of run of the mill political opponents of the GOP) have become commonplace. As the party has brought white Christian nationalism into the mainstream, white supremacists have become a critical faction of the GOP coalition. And this has elicited no more than murmurs of disapproval from the party leadership, which is focused on the practicalities of winning elections.

The United States of 2022 is multiracial, multiethnic, with a decreasing proportion of Christians, increasing acceptance of sexual and gender diversity, and it is certainly less white than in previous eras. These facts discombobulate and distress many folks who count themselves as white (even decedents of, for instance, Irish or Italian or Catholic immigrants who were not regarded as equally ‘white’ or as real American stock when they arrived on our shores).

After the last half dozen years, explicitly open appeals to fear and hate and exclusion – based on the notion that white Christians have always had and ought to continue to have a privileged place in the nation – have come to the fore. Disparaged groups are regarded with contempt, as are our democratic institutions that would give them all a voice. The leadership of the Republican Party has made the choice that, if taking this path is a prerequisite to their party gaining and maintaining power, so be it. In making this choice, they have failed the country.

I noted in a previous post, "Political parties and their leaders have a special role to play in safeguarding democratic institutions," and I quoted from Steven Levitsky and Daniel Ziblatt's How Democracies Die:

Potential demagogues exist in all democracies, and occasionally, one or more of them strike a public chord. But in some democracies, political leaders heed the warning signs and take steps to ensure that authoritarians remain on the fringes, far from the centers of power. When faced with the rise of extremists or demagogues, they make a concerted effort to isolate and defeat them. Although mass responses to extremist appeals matter, what matters more is whether political elites, and especially parties, serve as filters. 

Republican leaders have failed to keep authoritarians on the fringes. Instead, they have acquiesced to Trump and his followers. They have chosen political expediency, taking the path of least resistance. No matter what democratic norm the MAGA GOP trashes, there is never a bridge too far.

The current direction of the Republican Party is antithetical to American democracy.

* Later, after Orbán issued a statement denying anti-Semitism, his advisor withdrew her criticism.

Donald Trump on Truth Social.

Last week, after a ruling by the Wisconsin Supreme Court that would make Chief Justice John Roberts (who has been on a campaign to suppress Democratic votes since his tenure in the Reagan White House) and his Republican SCOTUS colleagues proud, Donald Trump took notice. He phoned Wisconsin's Speaker of the House Robin Vos to urge him to overturn the results of the 2020 election.

The Speaker declined. It is, however, hardly clear that he would decline were he to receive such a call in November or December 2024.

Inspector Javert would have applauded such implacable dedication. The Indianapolis Star, quoting Todd Rokita (in the headline above), reports: "Rokita is known as a socially conservative firebrand, unafraid to clash with those who are more moderate within his own party, including Gov. Eric Holcomb. Republicans believe he could eventually seek a higher office, such as the governor's office or the Senate."

On Fox News Wednesday night, the Indiana AG pledged to go after the OB-GYN who had reported the rape of a 10-year old: "We're gathering the evidence as we speak, and we're going to fight this to the end, including looking at her licensure. If she failed to report it in Indiana, it's a crime for – to not report, to intentionally not report."

In addition to issuing threats against the physician, AG Rokita lays blame, "This is a horrible, horrible scene caused – caused by Marxists and socialists and those in the White House who want lawlessness at the border," just before accusing the doctor of politicizing the situation.

Accusations, threats, and intimidation are par for the course for ambitious Republicans in positions to employ the strong arm of the law against political opponents, including doctors. That's why in Texas, for instance, doctors are afraid of being sued under state law to offer medical treatment to women undergoing complications during pregnancy until the woman's life is in danger. This situation prompted the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services to issue a directive reinforcing federal law that protects patients when an emergency medical condition exists:

The Emergency Medical Treatment and Labor Act (EMTALA) provides rights to any individual who comes to a hospital emergency department and requests examination or treatment. In particular, if such a request is made, hospitals must provide an appropriate medical screening examination to determine whether an emergency medical condition exists or whether the person is in labor. If an emergency medical condition is found to exist, the hospital must provide available stabilizing treatment or an appropriate transfer to another hospital that has the capabilities to provide stabilizing treatment.

The Lone Star State (like the Hoosier state) has more than its share of socially conservative firebrands, one of whom stepped into the limelight with his own election-year preening:

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton’s office filed the suit challenging the guidance in federal court on Thursday, saying the Biden administration’s guidance violates the state’s “sovereign interest in the power to create and enforce a legal code.”

Are these 'pro-life' politicians motivated by Christian charity? Is the embrace of 'liberty,' and a commitment to limited government, what moves the leaders of the Republican Party? I suggest we're seeing something uglier and more authoritarian.

July 20, 2022 postscript: Let's spell this out just a bit more. The most extreme state bans on abortion, including the ban in Ohio state, that would require a 10-year old to carry a pregnancy to term are brutally cruel. Most Republican operatives (such as the Indiana and Texas attorneys general and Fox News personalities) have flatly and consistently refused to grapple with this barbaric injustice. Instead they have deflected, threatened, and sought to intimidate. Alternatively, proponents of these laws who acknowledge valuing a six week old fetus over a traumatized child have embraced a religious view that a majority of Americans do not and should not accept.

For anyone who rejects white Christian nationalism and embraces a commitment to equal rights and justice for women, the choice between forced pregnancy to term, or an individual and family's right to make reproductive decisions, is not difficult. The state has no reasonable grounds for denying a woman's choice in such circumstances. Republicans, waging a campaign of intimidation, have made physicians fearful of providing standard of care for women experiencing miscarriage or other problem pregnancies. This endangers the life, health, and well being of women.

Neither an embryo nor a fetus is a person. The United States Constitution recognizes the rights of people. In a nation of laws, so should state governments. The religious views of Catholics or the evangelical Christian right should not hold sway.

Many Americans, who are hardly religious fanatics, may find that their moral intuitions change as a pregnancy nears term. Is there a compelling state interest in preserving the life of a fetus at eight and a half months (for instance), rather than six or ten weeks? There may be reasonable grounds for debate at some stage of prenatal development. That debate is for another day. The rush of red states to enact abortion bans is antithetical to a free society and it poses grave risks to the health of women.

A final note: the United States Supreme Court was on a tear during its 2020-21 session with rulings that sharply diverged from longstanding precedents regarding reproductive rights, the regulation of firearms, and climate change legislation. In every case the majority issued decisions consistent with the agenda of the Republican Party (as it did consistently, over several sessions of the court, in its rulings on voting rights and gerrymandering). In September 2020, a Marquette Law School poll asked, "Overall, how much do you approve or disapprove of the way the US Supreme Court is handling its job?" The responses 22 months ago were 66% approval and 33% disapproval. In July 2022 the same question elicited only 38% approval and 61% disapproval. The decisions of the Supreme Court's Republican majority, in lockstep with the an increasingly extreme party, have lost the veneer of evenhanded justice, challenging the legitimacy of the court itself.

In a June 17 post, I asked why Bill Stepien (who in testimony before the January 6 Committee had contrasted his realistic, accurate views of the election outcome with the duplicitous concoctions spread by Team Rudy) had not come forward sooner, before receiving a subpoena. My conclusion:

Team Normal means business as usualIt was -- is -- better to fade into the background, not drawing any attention to oneself, and continuing to profit from the big lie. This don't rock the boat approach makes sense. It is hard to deny from a strictly financial point of view, from personal self-interest, that this is the rational choice. This counts for normal in today's Republican Party.

In other words, Stepien, a Republican strategist, has a business to run. Truth-telling isn't good for his livelihood. He is now running the Trump-endorsed campaign of Harriet Hageman, who is seeking to unseat Liz Cheney. Jonathan Chait, comments on the rationalizations, offered in Tim Miller's book Why We Did It, by GOP political consultants who know Trump lost the election, but continue to bolster Trump and his lies. His account, which matches mine, notes that

while the specifics of every Trump-supporting Republican differ, one motif of his subjects is a failure to summon the imagination and moral courage to break free from their career path and social identity. By the time you have attained a job in Republican politics that carries enough influence to matter, you have enough at stake professionally and socially that truly abandoning the party becomes as difficult to imagine as a fish leaving the water for land.

In a June 24 post, I praised the Speaker of the Arizona House of Representatives for standing up to Trump in the aftermath of the November 2020 election, but noted that Rusty Bowers expressed a willingness to vote again for the disgraced former president:

Rusty Bowers is prepared to vote again for Donald Trump. He rejects the big lie as a lie. He recognizes the outcome of the 2020 election. He knows Trump lost. He witnessed firsthand Trump's relentless war against that result, no matter the damage to our democratic institutions. Yet he is still onboard with Trump if the former president is on the ballot again.
With his decision to vote again for Trump, Bowers places himself back at the center of his tribe, the Republican Party circa 2022. No longer subject to an angry, hateful campaign conducted by the red team, he finds himself in accord with the vast majority of the GOP's leaders and voters. Donald Trump, so long as he leads the Republican Party, has the loyalty of the party faithful.

This is the path of least resistance. Bowers' expression of loyalty to Trump will not harm his bid to win a Republican primary campaign for the state senate.

Last week in the Atlantic, Mark Leibovich (whose new book is Thank You For Your Servitude), considered "the doormat duo," Kevin McCarthy and Lindsay Graham, both of whom have a clear-eyed view of Trump and the threat he represents, yet have been "slavishly devoted" to the man.

Once, early in 2019, I asked Graham a version of the question that so many of his judgy old Washington friends had been asking him. How could he swing from being one of Trump’s most merciless critics in 2016 to such a sycophant thereafter? I didn’t use those exact words, but Graham got the idea. “Well, okay, from my point of view, if you know anything about me, it’d be odd not to do this,” he told me. “‘This,’” Graham specified, “is to try to be relevant.” Relevance: It casts one hell of a spell.
“I could get Trump on the phone faster than any staff person who worked for him could get him on the phone,” McCarthy bragged to me. There was always a breathless, racing quality to both men’s voices when they talked about the thrill ride of being one of Trump’s “guys.”

Relevance. Prominence. Maintaining ones livelihood. Counting on advancing ones career. Keeping ones friends on the red team. Never mind protecting our democratic institutions. That ain't in the cards. Not in our polarized political culture. Not when grasping for, or keeping ones grip on power.

Chait asks how such "profound cynicism" comes so easily to this crew. He points to the chasm between the GOP's core policy objectives (low taxes for the rich and scant regulation of business) and the campaign themes (focused on a trumped-up culture war) that win elections for Republicans. That chasm and the decades of campaigns to gin up fear and anger in the base are hardly new. (I recall reports from the '80s and '90s that George H. W. Bush regarded campaigns and governing as separated by the brightest of bright lines. He shrugged off campaigns -- remember the rallies at flag factories and the Willie Horton ads? -- as coarse, unseemly necessities, but endeavored to govern as a serious, thoughtful leader.)

Chait's conclusion: "That cavernous gap between the means of campaigning and the ends of governing produced a political class of cynics and nihilists."

This much is certain: that gap is undeniable, as is the Republican reliance on the culture war to win elections. And campaigns have consequences, especially permanent campaigns trumpeted by conservative media. Over time the demonization of the party's political opponents has grown fiercer, angrier, and more fantastical. This has damaged the prospects of good faith debate and created huge obstacles for the workaday give and take of the democratic political process.

This didn't start with Donald Trump. He pushed the envelope, but that was par for the course. Trump didn't represent a difference in kind, only a difference in degree. And for Republicans across the board there is never a bridge too far. Not even rejecting the results of a democratic election, the peaceful transfer of power, or the rule of law.

Cynical? Nihilistic? Or just the cost of doing business in today's Republican Party?

The death toll, a day later, has risen to 7 with more than three dozen injured. Folks were celebrating July 4th with their families. How many will bring their kids to next year's parade? Will those who do so, come with trepidation? (We can, of course, ask the same questions about churches, elementary schools, grocery stores, movie theaters, ... not just about Fourth of July celebrations.)

There were more than a dozen mass shootings over the holiday weekend and there have been over 300 in the country in the first half of 2022.

Senator Chris Murphy observes that the United States is an international outlier when it comes to gun violence. He says the recent legislation that he shepherded through the Senate will make a difference, but adds, "Today is a reminder of how much more work that we have to do."

Neither the NRA, nor Ted Cruz, nor the majority of Republican elected officials wish to do more, while the Republican majority on the Supreme Court is dedicated to crippling the ability of elected legislatures to take reasonable steps to solve the barrage of gun violence. The Republican Party, which has sided with gun manufacturers, the gun lobby, and a faction of extremists among GOP voters, sees the solution to gun deaths as more guns, in more hands, in more public places. By 'hardening' buildings and adding armed guards, we can make American cities more like military compounds in war zones. By encouraging individuals to carry guns (by making gun ownership easier, regulations laxer, and increasing the venues where guns are present), we can guarantee that the U.S. will remain an international outlier regarding gun violence.

What a sad, twisted vision of liberty.